Latest polls
How people say they'd vote · not ballot totals
Opinion polls are estimates, not counted votes.
ELECTION INTELLIGENCE / LATEST PUBLISHED SURVEY
Latest poll. The numbers, without the spin.
Choose a poll to compare parties, then explore what the numbers mean in Parliament.
POLL LEAD—Latest selected survey
FIELDWORK—Survey period · not a counted vote
01 / THE SNAPSHOT
Published numbers · official counts kept separateEverything important, at a glance.
6 Nov 2026
Coalition tracker
What the party vote could mean for seats
63Seats to govern
124Scenario seats
—Bloc gap
Seat estimates depend on electorates and the 5% threshold.
Official results
Verified votes only · official feed
Official results begin
7pm election night
Live party votes, seat estimates and official reporting status will appear here.
02 / THE BIGGER PICTURE
Fresh reporting and published sourcesGo deeper. Stay informed.
Preferred prime minister
Latest Curia survey · 28 Oct–3 Nov 2026
Opinion survey, not party voteCuria source ↗
Polling trends
Published surveys over time
The essential news
The stories that matter, no endless feed
Connecting to news sources…
The countdown
NZ time
—Until results begin
—Days
—Hours
—Minutes
Source transparency
Independent reporting and official results
Original sources, one click away. Independent website. No party or publisher affiliation.
POLLING INTELLIGENCE
Every poll. One clear picture.
Compare published nationwide party-vote surveys. Polls measure voter intent, not ballots.
Pollster comparison
Select a survey to view its actual reported figures.
Polling history
Survey-to-survey trends — not a continuously sampled vote count.
Different pollsters use different sampling methods; small movements may be within the margin of error.
Recent published surveys
Publication dates and original-source links.
| Published | Pollster | National | Labour | Greens | ACT | NZ First | TOP | TPM | Source |
|---|
THE PEOPLE / PREFERRED PRIME MINISTER
Preferred leaders. The numbers behind the names.
Published preferred-prime-minister polling. Different from party vote, approval ratings and actual election results.
SELECTED PREFERRED-PM SURVEY
Curia · Latest published preferred-PM poll
This is an opinion poll, not a forecast or counted election result.
How to read this
These percentages represent the respondents who named each politician as their preferred prime minister. They do not predict seats or measure leadership approval.
Photo provenance
Photographs come from reusable Wikimedia Commons files. Individual creators, licences and links are provided under Sources and credits.
ELECTORAL COMMISSION
Election night. The actual votes.
Unverified results are never displayed as facts. Preliminary totals may change.
AWAITING OFFICIAL COUNT
Checking official source…Counting begins Saturday at 7pm NZDT
The Commission releases preliminary numbers progressively after the polls close. This panel displays no fabricated votes.
VOTING PLACES REPORTING—Not the percentage of votes counted
PARTY VOTES REPORTED—Official data required
FEED STATUSAWAITINGNo live count
What happens when?
7:00pmVoting closes, first preliminary results begin arriving
7:30pmFirst counts expected to be entered
10:00pmCommission target: returns from 50% of voting places
11:30pmCommission target: 95% of voting places reporting
27 NovOfficial results scheduled for declaration
Targets, not guarantees. Election-night totals exclude some special votes. Official media kit
LOCAL CONTESTS
Electorates. Every seat matters.
Follow key Māori electorate contests. Official electorate results will be linked as they become available.
Electorate results are different from nationwide party-vote polling. No candidate vote totals will be shown until verified by the Electoral Commission.
Electorate voting-intention snapshots are based on dated Whakaata Māori–Curia surveys, not verified election-night totals. See published polling reports.
UNDERSTAND MMP
Build a government. Do the seat maths.
Select parties to explore possible majorities. This is arithmetic, not a prediction or coalition endorsement.
Parliament seat simulator
Illustrative 2026 distribution based on the selected poll
Party-vote thresholds and electorate assumptions can change the final parliamentary size.
Coalition builder
Tick parties to combine their seats.
—SELECTED SEATS
—SEATS NEEDED
Pick parties to begin.
A majority in the calculator does not imply parties will agree to govern together.
WHAT MATTERS, NOT THE NOISE
Election news. Curated and sourced.
Short headline summaries linking directly to the publishers. No endless feed on the overview.
Connecting to news feeds…
OPEN ABOUT OUR METHODS
Confidence comes from transparency.
Published polls, independent news and official results are kept separate.
Polls are not votes
National polling snapshots are attributed to their publisher and fieldwork dates. Small differences are often within a survey's sampling margin of error.
Poll methodology and averagesResults are not estimates
Only the NZ Electoral Commission is treated as authoritative for preliminary official totals. If the source cannot be parsed and verified, we show an unavailable state rather than numbers.
Official resultsNot affiliated
NZ Election Live 2026 is an independent BU1ST Technologies Sydney project. It is not endorsed by the Commission, a pollster, a political party or any of the linked media publishers.
Official election timetableVisual attribution
Original visual direction and generated decorative Wellington skyline treatment created for BU1ST Technologies Sydney. Party colours are informational, not endorsements.
Site data is best-effort and may be delayed when upstream services are unavailable.
Leader photo credits
Public/reusable photographs are supplied by Wikimedia Commons and belong to their respective creators. Photos do not indicate endorsement.